Category Archives: Trading Plan

$EUR/USD: Backtest Notes, 20 d 1h (8/27)

CONCLUSION:  At ST market tops and bottoms, DMI diverges on average 24.45, signalling that the market can no longer sustain the slope of the trend. A total of 10 flashes, with a low of 14 and a high of 35 … Continue reading

Posted in Backtest, Recommendations, Technical Analysis, Trading Plan | 10 Comments

#Silver Technical Analysis (8/23)

Expect continuation of uptrend once the correction is complete. Silver did bounced off prior support levels, also an area of confluence (see 1-hr chart comments below). That prior support level rests just above the 180-day EMA. The white metal finished … Continue reading

Posted in Recommendations, Technical Analysis, Trading Plan | 22 Comments

Trading Plan (Wk 6/19): Managing Risk and $tacking $ell Puts

Rather than monitor for more markets to capture major moves, I want to manage my current positions to maximize profits. Aug. Live-Cattle $LCQ11 and Sep. Feeder-Cattle $FCU11: It’s easier to see the gap from 2 days ago (6/16) on the … Continue reading

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Chart: $LE_F (Cattle) Looking To Move Off Its Base

Cattle Front Month: One-Year Chart. Cattle has been basing for over a month now after parachuting to lows. I use the one-month chart to identify major moves. Changing conditions in the fundamentals could drive Cattle prices above 23/30 EMA. RSI indicator: … Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Recommendations, Technical Analysis, Trading Plan | 2 Comments

Chart: Coffee (Arabica) Bullish Setup

Coffee (Arabica) looking to peek above the 23 and 30 EMA. Watch for confirmation by volume, otherwise, we might as well ignore price levels, too. Then, watching is just cherry picking for whatever confirms our bias. RSI indicator: neither overbought … Continue reading

Posted in Food/Softs/Fiber, Technical Analysis, Trading Plan | Leave a comment

Trading Treasury Bond Futures Ahead Of Philadelphia Fed Survey Release

Philadelphia Fed Survey to be released Thurs. June 16th at 10AM ET. There is a high negative correlation between this report and the bond market because the report is released early in the month. T-bond is in backwardation = bullish. … Continue reading

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Housing Index Case-Shiller-Las Vegas (futures)

May’s disappoint jobs data could lead to poor housing starts report to be released Thurs. June 16th, 2011 at 8:30AM ET. Of the contracts available, Las Vegas has the highest unemployment rate at 12.1%. How will the statisticians play with … Continue reading

Posted in Housing Market, Technical Analysis, Trading Plan | Tagged | Leave a comment